Oracle predictions

AI-computed probabilities for market and political events, side by side with the Polymarket price. Every number is locked with a hash before the outcome and then scored in public — hits and misses.

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—Brier score (0.25 = coin flip)
Ask your own question →Hobby: 16 questions/month, facts verified live.
Brazil electionresolves in today

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Oracle
73.0%
Polymarket
74.5%
oracle 2 pts below the market🔒 proof 59402cc3
Brazil electionresolves in today

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

Oracle
73.0%
Polymarket
74.5%
oracle 2 pts below the market🔒 proof e53898a8
Brazil electionresolves in today

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Oracle
5.6%
Polymarket
4.6%
oracle 1 pts above the market🔒 proof df0ea79c
Brazil electionresolves in 21 days

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Oracle
62.8%
Polymarket
64.5%
oracle 2 pts below the market🔒 proof 5afd8857
Brazil electionresolves in 21 days

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Oracle
33.9%
Polymarket
34.5%
oracle 1 pts below the market🔒 proof e5df0a9b
Ratesresolves in 24 days

Will the US Federal Reserve cut the federal funds rate at its October 2026 FOMC meeting?

Oracle
1.0%
Polymarket
0.7%
oracle and market agree🔒 proof 2f1e407c
Ratesresolves in 24 days

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Oracle
1.0%
Polymarket
0.5%
oracle 1 pts above the market🔒 proof b9424637
Stocksresolves in 26 days

Will the S&P 500 close October 2026 above its September 2026 close?

Oracle
61.0%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof 7dee3f1e
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will BTC close above 89,000 USD on 2026-10-31 (Coinbase daily close, UTC)?

Oracle
33.5%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof 6e1be8ef
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will BTC close above 94,500 USD on 2026-10-31 (Coinbase daily close, UTC)?

Oracle
15.5%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof 87b31909
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will BTC close below 73,500 USD on 2026-10-31 (Coinbase daily close, UTC)?

Oracle
12.5%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof 308d29ff
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will BTC close below 78,500 USD on 2026-10-31 (Coinbase daily close, UTC)?

Oracle
23.2%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof 847d2281
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will BTC trade above 94,500 USD at any point before 2026-10-31?

Oracle
28.5%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof ed28e930
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will ETH close above 2,850 USD on 2026-10-31 (Coinbase daily close, UTC)?

Oracle
31.5%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof ce92ca03
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will ETH close above 3,050 USD on 2026-10-31 (Coinbase daily close, UTC)?

Oracle
16.0%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof f1a4d593
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will ETH close below 2,350 USD on 2026-10-31 (Coinbase daily close, UTC)?

Oracle
16.0%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof 3e448d02
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will ETH trade above 3,050 USD at any point before 2026-10-31?

Oracle
28.0%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof b86b1179
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will SOL close above 130 USD on 2026-10-31 (Coinbase daily close, UTC)?

Oracle
34.8%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof c5e05139
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will SOL close above 145 USD on 2026-10-31 (Coinbase daily close, UTC)?

Oracle
15.0%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof 4d50f97a
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will SOL close below 110 USD on 2026-10-31 (Coinbase daily close, UTC)?

Oracle
31.0%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof 8437769a
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will SOL close below 99 USD on 2026-10-31 (Coinbase daily close, UTC)?

Oracle
17.0%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof b1007a9e
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will SOL trade above 145 USD at any point before 2026-10-31?

Oracle
29.0%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof fb1d61e1
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will Bitcoin close above 120,000 USD on 2026-10-31 (Coinbase daily close, UTC)?

Oracle
3.1%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof d5877dac
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will a new all-time high for Bitcoin be set between 2026-09-30 and 2026-10-31?

Oracle
7.0%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof 9d10053e
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will total crypto market cap be higher on 2026-10-31 than on 2026-09-30 (CoinGecko)?

Oracle
49.4%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof 89e1a94b
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will Ethereum trade above 5,000 USD at any point before 2026-10-31?

Oracle
2.0%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof 8bf4c025
Cryptoresolves in 27 days

Will Solana close above Ethereum in 30-day realized volatility on 2026-10-31?

Oracle
57.9%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof aff8f5e9
Ratesresolves in 31 days

Will Brazil's central bank (Copom) cut the Selic rate at its November 2026 meeting?

Oracle
32.0%
Polymarket
no market
🔒 proof 61614f8f

How it works

  1. Several AI teams debate each question using real data (prices, volatility, Polymarket, central banks).
  2. The output is a probability — not a recommendation. 67% means: in 100 situations like this, we expect it to happen ~67 times.
  3. The number is locked with a hash before the event. After the outcome, the Brier score shows whether the oracle beat the market.

Recomputed daily at 06:00 UTC.

Paper bot trading on these forecasts: /bot · Technical table: /oracle · Developer API: /pricing · Português

Information and analytics only — not investment or betting advice. Operated by Marbella Collins LLC.